New Taxes, New Tensions: Nigerians Caught in Reform Crossfire

Nigeria’s sweeping tax reform package, signed into law by President Bola Ahmed Tinubu and scheduled to take effect from January 1, 2026, was conceived as a bold attempt to modernise revenue collection, streamline a fragmented tax system, and raise the country’s chronically low tax-to-GDP ratio.

The reforms, comprising the Nigeria Tax Act, Nigeria Tax Administration Act, Nigeria Revenue Service (Establishment) Act—which replaces the Federal Inland Revenue Service (FIRS) with the Nigeria Revenue Service (NRS)—and related legislation, were promoted as a foundation for simplicity, fairness and efficiency.

However, even before full implementation begins, the new tax regime has become engulfed in controversy, political dispute and public anxiety, raising questions about process, clarity and trust.

How the Controversy Emerged

The debate intensified in December 2025 when Abdulsamad Dasuki, a member of the House of Representatives from Sokoto State, alleged that discrepancies existed between the versions of the tax laws passed by the National Assembly and the copies later gazetted.

The lawmaker claimed that certain provisions in the published laws did not reflect what legislators approved, a charge that sparked fears of post-legislative alterations. His claims, though contested, resonated widely and triggered renewed scrutiny of the reform process.

In response, the House of Representatives Minority Caucus, led by Afam Ogene, announced an internal review, asserting that preliminary findings suggested inconsistencies warranting further investigation. Opposition figures, including members of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), subsequently called for the suspension of the laws pending a comprehensive probe.

However, the House leadership distanced itself from the caucus’s interim position, insisting that legislative procedures had been followed and cautioning against drawing conclusions outside established parliamentary processes. A broader, bipartisan committee was later constituted to examine the matter, underscoring the sensitivity of the issue.

While no judicial or independent body has yet ruled that the laws were illegally altered, the dispute has exposed deep political divisions and contributed to public unease about the legitimacy of the reforms.

Policy Questions and Public Uncertainty

Beyond the political wrangling, the reforms have generated widespread confusion among ordinary Nigerians, particularly those operating within the informal economy.

According to the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), more than 60 per cent of Nigeria’s population, over 133 million people, live in multidimensional poverty, with millions earning livelihoods as petty traders, artisans, transport workers and small-scale farmers. For this group, uncertainty over how the new tax framework applies to informal income has become a major source of anxiety.

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Although the Nigeria Tax Act introduces exemptions for small businesses and progressive personal income tax rates, public awareness of these provisions remains limited. Questions persist over compliance requirements, access to Tax Identification Numbers (TINs), and digital filing obligations, particularly for citizens with limited formal education or internet access.

There are also lingering fears that, despite assurances of harmonisation, multiple taxation may persist at different levels of government, reinforcing long-standing distrust of tax authorities.

Trust Deficit and Accountability Concerns

Underlying much of the public scepticism is a deeper issue of confidence in governance. Many Nigerians question whether increased tax revenues will translate into improved infrastructure, social services and economic opportunity, citing past experiences of waste, corruption and poorly executed public projects.

Analysts argue that without visible accountability and transparent spending, even well-intentioned fiscal reforms risk rejection by a population already under economic strain.

The Road Ahead

Policy experts broadly agree that Nigeria’s tax system requires reform to reduce dependence on oil revenues and strengthen fiscal sustainability. The new laws address long-standing structural weaknesses, including fragmented revenue collection and outdated administrative frameworks.

However, they caution that process matters as much as policy. Clear communication, public education in local languages, accessible compliance mechanisms, and phased enforcement, especially for low-income earners, will be critical to success.

Equally important is resolving the controversy surrounding the legislative process. Publishing authenticated versions of the laws, allowing independent verification, and addressing outstanding concerns openly could help restore public confidence.

Nigeria’s tax overhaul represents a significant opportunity to reset the country’s fiscal future. Whether it becomes a cornerstone of sustainable development or another flashpoint of public discontent will depend on how transparently, inclusively and responsibly it is implemented in the months ahead.

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