Primaries, Terror, Power Plays: Nigeria’s Troubled Week

Nigeria ended the week exactly as it has spent much of the past months: politically restless, institutionally strained and morally unsettled.

The APC’s House of Representatives primaries produced stunning upsets, with several powerful incumbents losing their tickets while new faces emerged across the country, testing party cohesion ahead of 2027.

Despite facing a ₦110.4 billion money laundering trial, former Kogi Governor Yahaya Bello was cleared to contest the APC senatorial primaries, raising fresh questions about accountability and political protection.

A secondary school principal, teachers, and students abducted in Oyo State’s Oriire Local Government Area sent a desperate plea from captivity, even as their mathematics teacher Michael Oyedokun was beheaded by his captors, triggering nationwide outrage.

INEC raised the alarm over vote buying, thuggery, and misinformation ahead of the Ekiti governorship election scheduled for June 20.

And a PDP faction aligned with Oyo Governor Seyi Makinde formally adopted former President Goodluck Jonathan as its sole 2027 presidential aspirant, granting him a screening waiver based on his record of public service.

Together, these stories reveal a country where internal party politics is already in full election mode, schools are no longer safe, electoral integrity remains fragile, and the 2027 presidential field is now definitively crowded with familiar faces.

1. APC Reps Primaries Deliver Shock Losses, Big Wins 

The APC House of Representatives primaries reshaped the political landscape as prominent lawmakers suffered surprise defeats while others secured symbolic victories, exposing grassroots shifts, factional tensions, contested delegate influence, and internal power recalibration ahead of 2027.

Why it Matters:

The primaries offered an early referendum on political relevance inside the ruling party. Sitting lawmakers once assumed untouchable were rejected, signalling that local delegates still possess influence despite elite dominance. Yet allegations of irregularities and monetisation reveal enduring weaknesses, which then begs the question of if APC’s primaries are still fraught with alleged corruption, what is the hope that the 2027 general elections will also not suffer same fate. Either way, how APC resolves grievances may determine whether internal fractures become electoral liabilities in 2027.

2. APC Clears Yahaya Bello For Senatorial Primaries Despite ₦110.4bn Trial

Yahaya Bello

Despite standing trial on a 16-count charge involving alleged ₦110.4 billion money laundering, former Kogi Governor Yahaya Bello was cleared by the APC’s screening committee for the senatorial primaries in Kogi Central. Seventeen aspirants were cleared across Kogi’s three senatorial districts.

Why it Matters:

Clearing a sitting defendant in a ₦110.4 billion fraud trial for a senatorial primary sends a devastating message about accountability in Nigerian politics. The APC’s decision normalizes the participation of accused criminals in democratic processes. If Bello wins the primary and the election, he will be a senator while standing trial for one of the largest corruption cases in recent history. This is the kind of institutional failure that erodes public trust in democracy itself.

3. Abducted Oyo School Principal, Students Beg For Help As Kidnappers Behead Teacher

Gunmen abducted the principal, teachers and students of Community High School, Esinele, in Oyo State. In a viral video, the victims pleaded for rescue. One teacher, Michael Oyedokun, was later beheaded by his captors. Six suspects have been arrested, but the remaining hostages are still in captivity.

Why it Matters:

This tragedy marks a dangerous escalation of banditry into Nigeria’s Southwest, a region once considered relatively safe. The beheading of a teacher and the desperate video appeals from children and staff expose the federal and state governments’ inability to secure schools. It revives painful memories of the Chibok, Dapchi, Kankara, Kangara abductions and risks normalising the targeting of educational institutions. For a president whose administration promised improved security, the incident further erodes public confidence and could become a defining political liability ahead of 2027.

4. INEC Raises Alarm Over Vote Buying, Thuggery Ahead Of Ekiti Poll

2027: INEC To Clamp Down On Party Disputes Ahead Of Primaries
INEC Chairman, Prof. Joash Amupitan

INEC warned that vote buying, violence, misinformation and logistics failures could undermine Ekiti’s June 20 governorship election, underscoring how fragile electoral credibility remains even in relatively stable off-cycle contests nationwide.

Why it Matters:

INEC’s warnings before every election have become a ritual that rarely produces decisive action. The commission lists the same threats every cycle, vote buying, thuggery, misinformation, without structural remedies. The Ekiti governorship election is a 2027 rehearsal. If INEC cannot conduct a credible single-state poll, how will it manage a national election across 36 states? The Ekiti result will show whether electoral reform is working or merely being discussed.

5. Makinde-Backed PDP Bloc Adopts Jonathan As Sole 2027 Presidential Aspirant

A Makinde-aligned PDP bloc screened and adopted former President Goodluck Jonathan as its sole 2027 presidential aspirant, signalling deepening fragmentation within the opposition and renewed speculation about Jonathan’s political return.

Why it Matters:

Jonathan’s adoption is one of the most consequential political moves so far in the 2027 cycle. It revives the political ghost of 2015 and by aligning with Makinde’s structure, Jonathan potentially becomes the face of a new “Third Force” that could fragment opposition votes or force a major realignment. For the APC, this development is both a threat and an opportunity, depending on whether Jonathan can unify a fractured opposition or simply become another candidate in an already crowded field.

Conclusion

This week’s politics reveals a country moving toward 2027 with speed but without stability. The APC is bleeding incumbents and tolerating controversial candidates, while opposition parties are busy repositioning, from Labour Party’s internal crises to a PDP faction resurrecting Jonathan.

Yet beneath the political manoeuvring lies a more disturbing reality: schools are being raided, teachers are being beheaded, and Nigeria’s insecurity is no longer confined to the Northeast or Northwest.

As 2027 draws closer, the real contest may not be between parties alone, but between a political class obsessed with power and a citizenry exhausted by violence, broken promises and failing institutions.

History shows that when governance fails this visibly, elections become referendums on survival. Nigeria appears headed in that direction.

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